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Geschichte des VHB und der BWL: Rückblick und Einblicke.” Der Verband der Hochschullehrer für Betriebswirtschaft, Geschichte des VHB und Geschichten zum VHB, edited by Wolfgang Burr and Alfred Wagenhofer, Gabler Verlag, 2012.","short":"C. Sureth-Sloane, in: W. Burr, A. Wagenhofer (Eds.), Der Verband der Hochschullehrer für Betriebswirtschaft, Geschichte des VHB und Geschichten zum VHB, Gabler Verlag, Wiesbaden, 2012.","ieee":"C. Sureth-Sloane, “Vorwort. Geschichte des VHB und der BWL: Rückblick und Einblicke,” in Der Verband der Hochschullehrer für Betriebswirtschaft, Geschichte des VHB und Geschichten zum VHB, W. Burr and A. Wagenhofer, Eds. Wiesbaden: Gabler Verlag, 2012."},"year":"2012","language":[{"iso":"ger"}],"series_title":"V-VII"},{"user_id":"21222","title":"Welcher BWLer ist ein guter Forscher?","date_created":"2018-10-30T14:22:35Z","status":"public","department":[{"_id":"187"}],"publication":"Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung","author":[{"first_name":"Caren","full_name":"Sureth-Sloane, Caren","last_name":"Sureth-Sloane","id":"530"},{"last_name":"zu Knyphausen-Aufseß","first_name":"Dodo","full_name":"zu Knyphausen-Aufseß, Dodo"}],"issue":"276","publication_date":"2012-11-26","date_updated":"2022-01-06T07:01:36Z","_id":"5069","language":[{"iso":"ger"}],"page":"12","type":"newspaper_article","year":"2012","citation":{"ieee":"C. Sureth-Sloane and D. zu Knyphausen-Aufseß, “Welcher BWLer ist ein guter Forscher?,” Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, no. 276, 2012.","short":"C. Sureth-Sloane, D. zu Knyphausen-Aufseß, Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung (2012).","mla":"Sureth-Sloane, Caren, and Dodo zu Knyphausen-Aufseß. “Welcher BWLer ist ein guter Forscher?” Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, no. 276, 2012.","bibtex":"@article{Sureth-Sloane_zu Knyphausen-Aufseß_2012, title={Welcher BWLer ist ein guter Forscher?}, number={276}, journal={Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung}, author={Sureth-Sloane, Caren and zu Knyphausen-Aufseß, Dodo}, year={2012} }","chicago":"Sureth-Sloane, Caren, and Dodo zu Knyphausen-Aufseß. “Welcher BWLer ist ein guter Forscher?” Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, 2012.","ama":"Sureth-Sloane C, zu Knyphausen-Aufseß D. Welcher BWLer ist ein guter Forscher? Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung. 2012.","apa":"Sureth-Sloane, C., & zu Knyphausen-Aufseß, D. (2012). Welcher BWLer ist ein guter Forscher? Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung."}},{"_id":"5116","date_updated":"2022-01-06T07:01:38Z","intvolume":" 41","issue":"3","citation":{"mla":"Gilroy, Bernard Michael, and Daniel Kruse. “Die Prinzipal-Agent-Theorie Als Erklärungsinstrumentarium von Korruption.” WiSt-Wirtschaftswissenschaftliches Studium, vol. 41, no. 3, Verlag Franz Vahlen GmbH, 2012, pp. 143–50.","bibtex":"@article{Gilroy_Kruse_2012, title={Die Prinzipal-Agent-Theorie als Erklärungsinstrumentarium von Korruption}, volume={41}, number={3}, journal={WiSt-Wirtschaftswissenschaftliches Studium}, publisher={Verlag Franz Vahlen GmbH}, author={Gilroy, Bernard Michael and Kruse, Daniel}, year={2012}, pages={143–150} }","apa":"Gilroy, B. M., & Kruse, D. (2012). Die Prinzipal-Agent-Theorie als Erklärungsinstrumentarium von Korruption. WiSt-Wirtschaftswissenschaftliches Studium, 41(3), 143–150.","ama":"Gilroy BM, Kruse D. Die Prinzipal-Agent-Theorie als Erklärungsinstrumentarium von Korruption. WiSt-Wirtschaftswissenschaftliches Studium. 2012;41(3):143-150.","chicago":"Gilroy, Bernard Michael, and Daniel Kruse. “Die Prinzipal-Agent-Theorie Als Erklärungsinstrumentarium von Korruption.” WiSt-Wirtschaftswissenschaftliches Studium 41, no. 3 (2012): 143–50.","ieee":"B. M. Gilroy and D. Kruse, “Die Prinzipal-Agent-Theorie als Erklärungsinstrumentarium von Korruption,” WiSt-Wirtschaftswissenschaftliches Studium, vol. 41, no. 3, pp. 143–150, 2012.","short":"B.M. Gilroy, D. Kruse, WiSt-Wirtschaftswissenschaftliches Studium 41 (2012) 143–150."},"year":"2012","type":"journal_article","page":"143-150","user_id":"26589","title":"Die Prinzipal-Agent-Theorie als Erklärungsinstrumentarium von Korruption","author":[{"full_name":"Gilroy, Bernard Michael","first_name":"Bernard Michael","id":"175","last_name":"Gilroy"},{"last_name":"Kruse","full_name":"Kruse, Daniel","first_name":"Daniel"}],"publisher":"Verlag Franz Vahlen GmbH","publication":"WiSt-Wirtschaftswissenschaftliches Studium","department":[{"_id":"203"}],"status":"public","date_created":"2018-10-31T08:03:36Z","volume":41},{"abstract":[{"text":"We study the predictive ability of individual analyst target price changes for post-event abnormal stock returns within each recommendation category. Although prior studies generally demonstrate the investment value of target prices, we find that target price changes do not cause abnormal returns within each recommendation level. Instead, contradictory analyst signals (e.g., strong buy reiterations with large target price decreases) neutralize each other, whereas confirmatory signals reinforce each other. Further, our analysis reveals that large target price downgrades can be explained by preceding stock price decreases. However, upgrades are not preceded by stock price increases, thereby demonstrating asymmetric analyst behavior when adjusting target prices to stock prices. Our results suggest that investors should treat recommendations with caution when they are issued with large contradictory target price changes. Thus, instead of blindly following a recommendation, investors might put more weight on the change in the corresponding target price and consider transaction costs.","lang":"eng"}],"article_type":"original","extern":"1","user_id":"46447","keyword":["Analyst recommendation","Target price","Stock performance","Trading strategy"],"publication":"Financial Markets and Portfolio Management (VHB-JOURQUAL 3 Ranking C)","publisher":"Springer","author":[{"first_name":"Stefan","full_name":"Kanne, Stefan","last_name":"Kanne"},{"last_name":"Klobucnik","first_name":"Jan","full_name":"Klobucnik, Jan"},{"full_name":"Kreutzmann, Daniel","first_name":"Daniel","last_name":"Kreutzmann"},{"id":"46447","last_name":"Sievers","full_name":"Sievers, Sönke","first_name":"Sönke"}],"date_created":"2018-10-31T11:34:44Z","status":"public","volume":26,"jel":["G11","G12","G17","G24"],"intvolume":" 26","_id":"5193","issue":"4","main_file_link":[{"url":"https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11408-012-0196-z"}],"page":"405-428","year":"2012","citation":{"apa":"Kanne, S., Klobucnik, J., Kreutzmann, D., & Sievers, S. (2012). To buy or not to buy? The value of contradictory analyst signals. Financial Markets and Portfolio Management (VHB-JOURQUAL 3 Ranking C), 26(4), 405–428. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11408-012-0196-z","ama":"Kanne S, Klobucnik J, Kreutzmann D, Sievers S. To buy or not to buy? The value of contradictory analyst signals. Financial Markets and Portfolio Management (VHB-JOURQUAL 3 Ranking C). 2012;26(4):405-428. doi:10.1007/s11408-012-0196-z","chicago":"Kanne, Stefan, Jan Klobucnik, Daniel Kreutzmann, and Sönke Sievers. “To Buy or Not to Buy? The Value of Contradictory Analyst Signals.” Financial Markets and Portfolio Management (VHB-JOURQUAL 3 Ranking C) 26, no. 4 (2012): 405–28. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11408-012-0196-z.","mla":"Kanne, Stefan, et al. “To Buy or Not to Buy? The Value of Contradictory Analyst Signals.” Financial Markets and Portfolio Management (VHB-JOURQUAL 3 Ranking C), vol. 26, no. 4, Springer, 2012, pp. 405–28, doi:10.1007/s11408-012-0196-z.","bibtex":"@article{Kanne_Klobucnik_Kreutzmann_Sievers_2012, title={To buy or not to buy? The value of contradictory analyst signals}, volume={26}, DOI={10.1007/s11408-012-0196-z}, number={4}, journal={Financial Markets and Portfolio Management (VHB-JOURQUAL 3 Ranking C)}, publisher={Springer}, author={Kanne, Stefan and Klobucnik, Jan and Kreutzmann, Daniel and Sievers, Sönke}, year={2012}, pages={405–428} }","short":"S. Kanne, J. Klobucnik, D. Kreutzmann, S. Sievers, Financial Markets and Portfolio Management (VHB-JOURQUAL 3 Ranking C) 26 (2012) 405–428.","ieee":"S. Kanne, J. Klobucnik, D. Kreutzmann, and S. Sievers, “To buy or not to buy? The value of contradictory analyst signals,” Financial Markets and Portfolio Management (VHB-JOURQUAL 3 Ranking C), vol. 26, no. 4, pp. 405–428, 2012."},"type":"journal_article","title":"To buy or not to buy? The value of contradictory analyst signals","department":[{"_id":"275"}],"publication_status":"published","date_updated":"2022-01-06T07:01:43Z","doi":"10.1007/s11408-012-0196-z","language":[{"iso":"eng"}]},{"doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2100501","_id":"5196","date_updated":"2022-01-06T07:01:43Z","year":"2012","citation":{"ama":"Mokwa CF, Sievers S. The Relevance of Biases in Management Forecasts for Failure Prediction in Venture Capital Investments. SSRN Electronic Journal. 2012. doi:10.2139/ssrn.2100501","apa":"Mokwa, C. F., & Sievers, S. (2012). The Relevance of Biases in Management Forecasts for Failure Prediction in Venture Capital Investments. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2100501","chicago":"Mokwa, Christopher Frederik, and Sönke Sievers. “The Relevance of Biases in Management Forecasts for Failure Prediction in Venture Capital Investments.” SSRN Electronic Journal, 2012. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2100501.","bibtex":"@article{Mokwa_Sievers_2012, title={The Relevance of Biases in Management Forecasts for Failure Prediction in Venture Capital Investments}, DOI={10.2139/ssrn.2100501}, journal={SSRN Electronic Journal}, author={Mokwa, Christopher Frederik and Sievers, Sönke}, year={2012} }","mla":"Mokwa, Christopher Frederik, and Sönke Sievers. “The Relevance of Biases in Management Forecasts for Failure Prediction in Venture Capital Investments.” SSRN Electronic Journal, 2012, doi:10.2139/ssrn.2100501.","short":"C.F. Mokwa, S. Sievers, SSRN Electronic Journal (2012).","ieee":"C. F. Mokwa and S. Sievers, “The Relevance of Biases in Management Forecasts for Failure Prediction in Venture Capital Investments,” SSRN Electronic Journal, 2012."},"type":"journal_article","language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"title":"The Relevance of Biases in Management Forecasts for Failure Prediction in Venture Capital Investments","user_id":"64756","abstract":[{"lang":"eng","text":"This study shows how venture capital investors can identify potential biases in multi-year management forecasts before an investment decision and derive significantly more accurate failure predictions. By advancing a cross-sectional projection method developed by prior research and using firm-specific information in financial statements and business plans, we derive benchmarks for management revenue forecasts. With these benchmarks, we estimate forecast errors as an a priori measure of biased expectations. Using this measure for our proprietary dataset on venture-backed start-ups in Germany, we find evidence of substantial upward forecast biases. We uncover that firms with large forecast errors fail significantly more often than do less biased entrepreneurs in years following the investment. Overall, our results highlight the implications of excessive optimism and overconfidence in entrepreneurial environments and emphasize the relevance of accounting information and business plans for venture capital investment decisions. "}],"jel":["G24","G32","M13","M41"],"publication_status":"published","status":"public","date_created":"2018-10-31T12:12:28Z","author":[{"last_name":"Mokwa","first_name":"Christopher Frederik","full_name":"Mokwa, Christopher Frederik"},{"full_name":"Sievers, Sönke","first_name":"Sönke","last_name":"Sievers"}],"publication":"SSRN Electronic Journal","department":[{"_id":"275"}],"keyword":["Management forecast biases","cross-sectional projection models","venture-backed start-ups","failure prediction","overoptimism","overconfidence"]},{"abstract":[{"lang":"eng","text":"This study provides evidence of significant biases in multi-year management forecasts by analyzing a proprietary dataset on venture-backed start-ups in Germany. We find that revenues and expenses are highly overestimated in each of the investigated one- to five-year-ahead planning periods. Furthermore, entrepreneurs underestimate one-year-ahead profit forecasts but clearly overestimate their profit forecasts for all longer-term forecast horizons. Additional analyses reveal that teams with prior management experience issue even more overestimated forecasts and misrepresent their forward-looking information. In contrast, greater asset verifiability and corporate lead investors are associated with lower levels of forecast errors. All key results hold if bias is either measured by traditionally comparing forecasts to ex-post realizations or by using a cross-sectional projection approach based on historical accounting data developed by prior research. "}],"user_id":"64756","title":"Biases in Management Forecasts of Venture-Backed Start-Ups: Evidence from Internal Due Diligence Documents of VC Investors","author":[{"full_name":"Mokwa, Christopher","first_name":"Christopher","last_name":"Mokwa"},{"first_name":"Sönke","full_name":"Sievers, Sönke","last_name":"Sievers"}],"publication":"SSRN Electronic Journal","department":[{"_id":"275"}],"keyword":["Management forecasts","Forecasting biases","Venture-backed start-ups","Projection methods"],"status":"public","date_created":"2018-10-31T12:16:45Z","jel":["G24","G32","M13","M41"],"publication_status":"published","date_updated":"2022-01-06T07:01:43Z","_id":"5198","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.1714399","language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"type":"journal_article","year":"2012","citation":{"bibtex":"@article{Mokwa_Sievers_2012, title={Biases in Management Forecasts of Venture-Backed Start-Ups: Evidence from Internal Due Diligence Documents of VC Investors}, DOI={10.2139/ssrn.1714399}, journal={SSRN Electronic Journal}, author={Mokwa, Christopher and Sievers, Sönke}, year={2012} }","mla":"Mokwa, Christopher, and Sönke Sievers. “Biases in Management Forecasts of Venture-Backed Start-Ups: Evidence from Internal Due Diligence Documents of VC Investors.” SSRN Electronic Journal, 2012, doi:10.2139/ssrn.1714399.","apa":"Mokwa, C., & Sievers, S. 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