[{"_id":"50719","type":"journal_article","citation":{"bibtex":"@article{Fritz_Gries_Wiechers_2024, title={An early indicator for anomalous stock market performance}, DOI={10.1080/14697688.2023.2281529}, journal={Quantitative Finance}, publisher={Informa UK Limited}, author={Fritz, Marlon and Gries, Thomas and Wiechers, Lukas}, year={2024}, pages={1–14} }","mla":"Fritz, Marlon, et al. “An Early Indicator for Anomalous Stock Market Performance.” Quantitative Finance, Informa UK Limited, 2024, pp. 1–14, doi:10.1080/14697688.2023.2281529.","ieee":"M. Fritz, T. Gries, and L. Wiechers, “An early indicator for anomalous stock market performance,” Quantitative Finance, pp. 1–14, 2024, doi: 10.1080/14697688.2023.2281529.","chicago":"Fritz, Marlon, Thomas Gries, and Lukas Wiechers. “An Early Indicator for Anomalous Stock Market Performance.” Quantitative Finance, 2024, 1–14. https://doi.org/10.1080/14697688.2023.2281529.","ama":"Fritz M, Gries T, Wiechers L. An early indicator for anomalous stock market performance. Quantitative Finance. Published online 2024:1-14. doi:10.1080/14697688.2023.2281529","short":"M. Fritz, T. Gries, L. Wiechers, Quantitative Finance (2024) 1–14.","apa":"Fritz, M., Gries, T., & Wiechers, L. (2024). An early indicator for anomalous stock market performance. Quantitative Finance, 1–14. https://doi.org/10.1080/14697688.2023.2281529"},"year":"2024","page":"1-14","article_type":"original","abstract":[{"text":"We propose an indicator for detecting anomalous stock market valuation in real time such that market participants receive timely signals so as to be able to take stabilizing action. Unlike existing approaches, our anomaly indicator introduces three methodological novelties. First, we use an endogenous, purely data-driven, nonparametric trend identification method to separate long-term market movements from more short-term ones. Second, we apply SETAR models that allow for asymmetric expansions and contractions around the long-term trend and find systematic stock price cycles. Third, we implement these findings in our indicator and conduct real-time market forecasts, which have so far been neglected in the literature. Applications of our indicator using monthly S&P 500 stock data from 1970 to the end of 2022 show that short-term anomalous market movements can be identified in real time up to one year ahead. We predict all major anomalies, including the 1987 Bubble and the initial phase of the Financial Crisis that began in 2007. In total, our anomaly indicator identifies more than 80% of all – even minor – anomalous episodes. Thus, smoothing market exaggerations through early signaling seems possible.","lang":"eng"}],"user_id":"186","author":[{"last_name":"Fritz","first_name":"Marlon","full_name":"Fritz, Marlon"},{"full_name":"Gries, Thomas","first_name":"Thomas","id":"186","last_name":"Gries"},{"last_name":"Wiechers","first_name":"Lukas","full_name":"Wiechers, Lukas"}],"publisher":"Informa UK Limited","publication":"Quantitative Finance","keyword":["General Economics","Econometrics and Finance","Finance"],"status":"public","date_created":"2024-01-22T08:49:02Z","date_updated":"2024-01-22T08:54:05Z","doi":"10.1080/14697688.2023.2281529","language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"title":"An early indicator for anomalous stock market performance","department":[{"_id":"19"},{"_id":"200"},{"_id":"202"},{"_id":"475"}],"publication_status":"published","publication_identifier":{"issn":["1469-7688","1469-7696"]}},{"author":[{"last_name":"Burs","full_name":"Burs, Carina","first_name":"Carina"}],"publisher":"Informa UK Limited","publication":"Cogent Economics & Finance","keyword":["asset pricing","subjective information","stability conditions","monetary policy","risk aversion"],"jel":["E44","E58","D83","C62","G12"],"volume":11,"status":"public","date_created":"2023-11-28T14:31:12Z","abstract":[{"lang":"eng","text":"I study the effect of heterogeneous beliefs about asset prices on the long-term behavior of financial markets. Starting from the ideas of Abreu and Brunnermeier (Citation2003), a two-dimensional system of differential equations is developed. The first dynamic variable is the asset price growth rate. The second dynamic variable is the number of investors who believe that asset prices are abnormally high. In a phase plane analysis, I find both stable and unstable equilibria, depending on the spread of information and the response to other agents’ beliefs. If individuals try to increase their returns while perceiving more overpricing, these equilibria can be spirals or even approach limit cycles. Although I intend to study general price patterns, abnormally high asset prices can be caused by financial bubbles. In this model, bubbles can emerge and deflate both in cycles or directly, or they can grow until they burst. Further, I analyze market behavior after a central bank increases the interest rate. This can lead to new stable equilibria, but the emergence and bursting of bubbles cannot be prevented."}],"user_id":"44010","type":"journal_article","year":"2023","citation":{"short":"C. Burs, Cogent Economics & Finance 11 (2023).","ieee":"C. Burs, “A model of cycles and bubbles under heterogeneous beliefs in financial markets,” Cogent Economics & Finance, vol. 11, no. 2, 2023, doi: 10.1080/23322039.2023.2272485.","ama":"Burs C. A model of cycles and bubbles under heterogeneous beliefs in financial markets. Cogent Economics & Finance. 2023;11(2). doi:10.1080/23322039.2023.2272485","apa":"Burs, C. (2023). A model of cycles and bubbles under heterogeneous beliefs in financial markets. Cogent Economics & Finance, 11(2). https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2023.2272485","chicago":"Burs, Carina. “A Model of Cycles and Bubbles under Heterogeneous Beliefs in Financial Markets.” Cogent Economics & Finance 11, no. 2 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2023.2272485.","mla":"Burs, Carina. “A Model of Cycles and Bubbles under Heterogeneous Beliefs in Financial Markets.” Cogent Economics & Finance, vol. 11, no. 2, Informa UK Limited, 2023, doi:10.1080/23322039.2023.2272485.","bibtex":"@article{Burs_2023, title={A model of cycles and bubbles under heterogeneous beliefs in financial markets}, volume={11}, DOI={10.1080/23322039.2023.2272485}, number={2}, journal={Cogent Economics & Finance}, publisher={Informa UK Limited}, author={Burs, Carina}, year={2023} }"},"intvolume":" 11","_id":"49309","issue":"2","department":[{"_id":"202"}],"publication_identifier":{"issn":["2332-2039"]},"publication_status":"published","title":"A model of cycles and bubbles under heterogeneous beliefs in financial markets","language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"date_updated":"2023-11-28T14:34:50Z","doi":"10.1080/23322039.2023.2272485"},{"language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"doi":"10.33423/jop.v23i1.6033","date_updated":"2023-10-16T10:43:29Z","publication_status":"published","publication_identifier":{"issn":["2158-3609"]},"department":[{"_id":"200"},{"_id":"202"}],"title":"The Choice of Ideology and Everyday Decisions","type":"journal_article","year":"2023","citation":{"bibtex":"@article{Burs_Gries_Müller_2023, title={The Choice of Ideology and Everyday Decisions}, volume={23}, DOI={10.33423/jop.v23i1.6033}, number={1}, journal={Journal of Organizational Psychology}, publisher={North American Business Press}, author={Burs, Carina and Gries, Thomas and Müller, Veronika}, year={2023} }","mla":"Burs, Carina, et al. “The Choice of Ideology and Everyday Decisions.” Journal of Organizational Psychology, vol. 23, no. 1, North American Business Press, 2023, doi:10.33423/jop.v23i1.6033.","chicago":"Burs, Carina, Thomas Gries, and Veronika Müller. “The Choice of Ideology and Everyday Decisions.” Journal of Organizational Psychology 23, no. 1 (2023). https://doi.org/10.33423/jop.v23i1.6033.","apa":"Burs, C., Gries, T., & Müller, V. (2023). The Choice of Ideology and Everyday Decisions. Journal of Organizational Psychology, 23(1). https://doi.org/10.33423/jop.v23i1.6033","ama":"Burs C, Gries T, Müller V. The Choice of Ideology and Everyday Decisions. Journal of Organizational Psychology. 2023;23(1). doi:10.33423/jop.v23i1.6033","ieee":"C. Burs, T. Gries, and V. Müller, “The Choice of Ideology and Everyday Decisions,” Journal of Organizational Psychology, vol. 23, no. 1, 2023, doi: 10.33423/jop.v23i1.6033.","short":"C. Burs, T. Gries, V. Müller, Journal of Organizational Psychology 23 (2023)."},"issue":"1","intvolume":" 23","_id":"48086","date_created":"2023-10-16T10:29:31Z","status":"public","volume":23,"publication":"Journal of Organizational Psychology","keyword":["Economics","Ideology","Decision-making"],"author":[{"last_name":"Burs","id":"44010","first_name":"Carina","full_name":"Burs, Carina"},{"first_name":"Thomas","full_name":"Gries, Thomas","last_name":"Gries","id":"186"},{"last_name":"Müller","first_name":"Veronika","full_name":"Müller, Veronika"}],"publisher":"North American Business Press","user_id":"44010","abstract":[{"text":"Individuals strive to make decisions that are consistent with not only their consumer preferences but also their psychological needs. However, they are confronted with complex, ambiguous or even false information. Ideologies and belief systems provide guidance when processing and evaluating information and give a coherent and comprehensible interpretation of reality. The first question is: why is an individual attracted to a particular ideology? Individuals choose ideologies that resonate with their subjective psychological needs and preferences. Second, how do individuals search for ideologies and find out which suit them best? We model an individual’s sequential information search for the best matching ideologies by applying Bayesian learning and utility optimization. Additional information enhances utility by reducing uncertainty. As a search is costly, the process may stop once an individual adopts an ideology even if the information set remains incomplete. Third, once they have chosen a particular ideology, individuals adhere to its rules and norms when making everyday decisions. Consumers not only physically consume, but they also act in accordance with their psychological needs.","lang":"eng"}]},{"year":"2023","citation":{"apa":"Fritz, M., Gries, T., & Redlin, M. (2023). The effectiveness of vaccination, testing, and lockdown strategies against COVID-19. International Journal of Health Economics and Management. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10754-023-09352-1","ama":"Fritz M, Gries T, Redlin M. The effectiveness of vaccination, testing, and lockdown strategies against COVID-19. International Journal of Health Economics and Management. Published online 2023. doi:10.1007/s10754-023-09352-1","chicago":"Fritz, Marlon, Thomas Gries, and Margarete Redlin. “The Effectiveness of Vaccination, Testing, and Lockdown Strategies against COVID-19.” International Journal of Health Economics and Management, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10754-023-09352-1.","bibtex":"@article{Fritz_Gries_Redlin_2023, title={The effectiveness of vaccination, testing, and lockdown strategies against COVID-19}, DOI={10.1007/s10754-023-09352-1}, journal={International Journal of Health Economics and Management}, publisher={Springer Science and Business Media LLC}, author={Fritz, Marlon and Gries, Thomas and Redlin, Margarete}, year={2023} }","mla":"Fritz, Marlon, et al. “The Effectiveness of Vaccination, Testing, and Lockdown Strategies against COVID-19.” International Journal of Health Economics and Management, Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 2023, doi:10.1007/s10754-023-09352-1.","short":"M. Fritz, T. Gries, M. Redlin, International Journal of Health Economics and Management (2023).","ieee":"M. Fritz, T. Gries, and M. Redlin, “The effectiveness of vaccination, testing, and lockdown strategies against COVID-19,” International Journal of Health Economics and Management, 2023, doi: 10.1007/s10754-023-09352-1."},"type":"journal_article","language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"doi":"10.1007/s10754-023-09352-1","date_updated":"2023-12-21T12:34:58Z","_id":"44591","publication_identifier":{"issn":["2199-9023","2199-9031"]},"publication_status":"published","status":"public","date_created":"2023-05-07T15:29:12Z","author":[{"first_name":"Marlon","full_name":"Fritz, Marlon","last_name":"Fritz"},{"first_name":"Thomas","full_name":"Gries, Thomas","last_name":"Gries"},{"last_name":"Redlin","first_name":"Margarete","full_name":"Redlin, Margarete"}],"publisher":"Springer Science and Business Media LLC","publication":"International Journal of Health Economics and Management","department":[{"_id":"200"},{"_id":"202"}],"keyword":["Health Policy","Economics","Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)"],"title":"The effectiveness of vaccination, testing, and lockdown strategies against COVID-19","user_id":"186","abstract":[{"text":"AbstractThe ability of various policy activities to reduce the reproduction rate of the COVID-19 disease is widely discussed. Using a stringency index that comprises a variety of lockdown levels, such as school and workplace closures, we analyze the effectiveness of government restrictions. At the same time, we investigate the capacity of a range of lockdown measures to lower the reproduction rate by considering vaccination rates and testing strategies. By including all three components in an SIR (Susceptible, Infected, Recovery) model, we show that a general and comprehensive test strategy is instrumental in reducing the spread of COVID-19. The empirical study demonstrates that testing and isolation represent a highly effective and preferable approach towards overcoming the pandemic, in particular until vaccination rates have risen to the point of herd immunity.","lang":"eng"}]},{"publication_identifier":{"issn":["0922-680X","1573-0468"]},"publication_status":"published","date_created":"2022-08-29T06:49:33Z","status":"public","department":[{"_id":"475"},{"_id":"200"},{"_id":"202"}],"publication":"Journal of Regulatory Economics","keyword":["Economics and Econometrics"],"author":[{"first_name":"Margarete","full_name":"Redlin, Margarete","last_name":"Redlin","id":"135"}],"publisher":"Springer Science and Business Media LLC","title":"Differences in NPI strategies against COVID-19","user_id":"14931","abstract":[{"text":"AbstractNon-pharmaceutical interventions are an effective strategy to prevent and control COVID-19 transmission in the community. However, the timing and stringency to which these measures have been implemented varied between countries and regions. The differences in stringency can only to a limited extent be explained by the number of infections and the prevailing vaccination strategies. Our study aims to shed more light on the lockdown strategies and to identify the determinants underlying the differences between countries on regional, economic, institutional, and political level. Based on daily panel data for 173 countries and the period from January 2020 to October 2021 we find significant regional differences in lockdown strategies. Further, more prosperous countries implemented milder restrictions but responded more quickly, while poorer countries introduced more stringent measures but had a longer response time. Finally, democratic regimes and stronger manifested institutions alleviated and slowed down the introduction of lockdown measures.","lang":"eng"}],"citation":{"ieee":"M. Redlin, “Differences in NPI strategies against COVID-19,” Journal of Regulatory Economics, 2022, doi: 10.1007/s11149-022-09452-9.","short":"M. Redlin, Journal of Regulatory Economics (2022).","mla":"Redlin, Margarete. “Differences in NPI Strategies against COVID-19.” Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 2022, doi:10.1007/s11149-022-09452-9.","bibtex":"@article{Redlin_2022, title={Differences in NPI strategies against COVID-19}, DOI={10.1007/s11149-022-09452-9}, journal={Journal of Regulatory Economics}, publisher={Springer Science and Business Media LLC}, author={Redlin, Margarete}, year={2022} }","chicago":"Redlin, Margarete. “Differences in NPI Strategies against COVID-19.” Journal of Regulatory Economics, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11149-022-09452-9.","apa":"Redlin, M. (2022). Differences in NPI strategies against COVID-19. Journal of Regulatory Economics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11149-022-09452-9","ama":"Redlin M. Differences in NPI strategies against COVID-19. Journal of Regulatory Economics. Published online 2022. doi:10.1007/s11149-022-09452-9"},"type":"journal_article","year":"2022","language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"doi":"10.1007/s11149-022-09452-9","_id":"33221","date_updated":"2022-08-29T08:38:12Z"},{"publisher":"Springer Science and Business Media LLC","author":[{"full_name":"Gries, Thomas","first_name":"Thomas","id":"186","last_name":"Gries"},{"first_name":"Wim","full_name":"Naudé, Wim","last_name":"Naudé"}],"publication":"Journal for Labour Market Research","keyword":["General Medicine"],"status":"public","date_created":"2022-08-29T06:43:37Z","volume":56,"abstract":[{"text":"AbstractWe provide a partial equilibrium model wherein AI provides abilities combined with human skills to provide an aggregate intermediate service good. We use the model to find that the extent of automation through AI will be greater if (a) the economy is relatively abundant in sophisticated programs and machine abilities compared to human skills; (b) the economy hosts a relatively large number of AI-providing firms and experts; and (c) the task-specific productivity of AI services is relatively high compared to the task-specific productivity of general labor and labor skills. We also illustrate that the contribution of AI to aggregate productive labor service depends not only on the amount of AI services available but on the endogenous number of automated tasks, the relative productivity of standard and IT-related labor, and the substitutability of tasks. These determinants also affect the income distribution between the two kinds of labor. We derive several empirical implications and identify possible future extensions.","lang":"eng"}],"user_id":"135","citation":{"ieee":"T. Gries and W. Naudé, “Modelling artificial intelligence in economics,” Journal for Labour Market Research, vol. 56, no. 1, Art. no. 12, 2022, doi: 10.1186/s12651-022-00319-2.","short":"T. Gries, W. Naudé, Journal for Labour Market Research 56 (2022).","bibtex":"@article{Gries_Naudé_2022, title={Modelling artificial intelligence in economics}, volume={56}, DOI={10.1186/s12651-022-00319-2}, number={112}, journal={Journal for Labour Market Research}, publisher={Springer Science and Business Media LLC}, author={Gries, Thomas and Naudé, Wim}, year={2022} }","mla":"Gries, Thomas, and Wim Naudé. “Modelling Artificial Intelligence in Economics.” Journal for Labour Market Research, vol. 56, no. 1, 12, Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 2022, doi:10.1186/s12651-022-00319-2.","ama":"Gries T, Naudé W. Modelling artificial intelligence in economics. Journal for Labour Market Research. 2022;56(1). doi:10.1186/s12651-022-00319-2","apa":"Gries, T., & Naudé, W. (2022). Modelling artificial intelligence in economics. Journal for Labour Market Research, 56(1), Article 12. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12651-022-00319-2","chicago":"Gries, Thomas, and Wim Naudé. “Modelling Artificial Intelligence in Economics.” Journal for Labour Market Research 56, no. 1 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12651-022-00319-2."},"type":"journal_article","year":"2022","_id":"33220","intvolume":" 56","issue":"1","article_number":"12","department":[{"_id":"475"},{"_id":"200"},{"_id":"202"}],"publication_identifier":{"issn":["2510-5019","2510-5027"]},"publication_status":"published","title":"Modelling artificial intelligence in economics","language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"date_updated":"2022-08-30T07:37:57Z","doi":"10.1186/s12651-022-00319-2"},{"date_created":"2022-08-29T06:41:11Z","status":"public","volume":33,"publication":"Psychological Inquiry","keyword":["General Psychology"],"publisher":"Informa UK Limited","author":[{"first_name":"Thomas","full_name":"Gries, Thomas","last_name":"Gries","id":"186"},{"full_name":"Müller, Veronika","first_name":"Veronika","last_name":"Müller"},{"first_name":"John T.","full_name":"Jost, John T.","last_name":"Jost"}],"user_id":"135","page":"65-83","year":"2022","citation":{"chicago":"Gries, Thomas, Veronika Müller, and John T. Jost. “The Market for Belief Systems: A Formal Model of Ideological Choice.” Psychological Inquiry 33, no. 2 (2022): 65–83. https://doi.org/10.1080/1047840x.2022.2065128.","apa":"Gries, T., Müller, V., & Jost, J. T. (2022). The Market for Belief Systems: A Formal Model of Ideological Choice. Psychological Inquiry, 33(2), 65–83. https://doi.org/10.1080/1047840x.2022.2065128","ama":"Gries T, Müller V, Jost JT. The Market for Belief Systems: A Formal Model of Ideological Choice. Psychological Inquiry. 2022;33(2):65-83. doi:10.1080/1047840x.2022.2065128","mla":"Gries, Thomas, et al. “The Market for Belief Systems: A Formal Model of Ideological Choice.” Psychological Inquiry, vol. 33, no. 2, Informa UK Limited, 2022, pp. 65–83, doi:10.1080/1047840x.2022.2065128.","bibtex":"@article{Gries_Müller_Jost_2022, title={The Market for Belief Systems: A Formal Model of Ideological Choice}, volume={33}, DOI={10.1080/1047840x.2022.2065128}, number={2}, journal={Psychological Inquiry}, publisher={Informa UK Limited}, author={Gries, Thomas and Müller, Veronika and Jost, John T.}, year={2022}, pages={65–83} }","short":"T. Gries, V. Müller, J.T. Jost, Psychological Inquiry 33 (2022) 65–83.","ieee":"T. Gries, V. Müller, and J. T. Jost, “The Market for Belief Systems: A Formal Model of Ideological Choice,” Psychological Inquiry, vol. 33, no. 2, pp. 65–83, 2022, doi: 10.1080/1047840x.2022.2065128."},"type":"journal_article","issue":"2","intvolume":" 33","_id":"33219","publication_identifier":{"issn":["1047-840X","1532-7965"]},"publication_status":"published","department":[{"_id":"202"},{"_id":"200"},{"_id":"475"}],"title":"The Market for Belief Systems: A Formal Model of Ideological Choice","language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"doi":"10.1080/1047840x.2022.2065128","date_updated":"2022-08-30T07:35:51Z"},{"language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"citation":{"ieee":"C. Burs and T. Gries, Decision-making under Imperfect Information with Bayesian Learning or Heuristic Rules, vol. No. 149. Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics, 2022.","short":"C. Burs, T. Gries, Decision-Making under Imperfect Information with Bayesian Learning or Heuristic Rules, Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics, 2022.","mla":"Burs, Carina, and Thomas Gries. Decision-Making under Imperfect Information with Bayesian Learning or Heuristic Rules. Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics, 2022.","bibtex":"@book{Burs_Gries_2022, series={Working Papers CIE}, title={Decision-making under Imperfect Information with Bayesian Learning or Heuristic Rules}, volume={No. 149}, publisher={ Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics}, author={Burs, Carina and Gries, Thomas}, year={2022}, collection={Working Papers CIE} }","ama":"Burs C, Gries T. Decision-Making under Imperfect Information with Bayesian Learning or Heuristic Rules. Vol No. 149. Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics; 2022.","apa":"Burs, C., & Gries, T. (2022). Decision-making under Imperfect Information with Bayesian Learning or Heuristic Rules: Vol. No. 149. Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics.","chicago":"Burs, Carina, and Thomas Gries. Decision-Making under Imperfect Information with Bayesian Learning or Heuristic Rules. Vol. No. 149. Working Papers CIE. Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics, 2022."},"year":"2022","type":"working_paper","series_title":"Working Papers CIE","date_updated":"2023-12-21T12:40:02Z","_id":"49308","status":"public","date_created":"2023-11-28T14:28:55Z","jel":["D18","D8","D83","D90"],"volume":"No. 149","publisher":" Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics","author":[{"full_name":"Burs, Carina","first_name":"Carina","id":"44010","last_name":"Burs"},{"first_name":"Thomas","full_name":"Gries, Thomas","last_name":"Gries","id":"186"}],"department":[{"_id":"202"}],"keyword":["information economics","imperfect information","Bayesian learning","risk","heuristics","differentiated products"],"user_id":"186","title":"Decision-making under Imperfect Information with Bayesian Learning or Heuristic Rules","abstract":[{"text":"Information is one of the most important ingredients for decision-making. While the neoclassical assumption of perfect information is surely an important conceptual benchmark for discussing efficient allocations, it is obviously far from describing a rational choice under real conditions. In reality, optimal choices should be considered choices under imperfect information. Thus, decision-makers' information problem can be solved by two strategies. Either they collect an optimal set of information to make an optimal allocation choice under this imperfect information set or they can apply heuristic reasoning. In this paper, we suggest a formal model framework for the example of a simple consumer decision for the allocation of differentiated goods to explore information acquisition strategies in such a simple standard choice situation. Using the model variation under perfect information as a benchmark, we answer the following questions. First and most importantly, under imperfect information, can a heuristic rule substitute information acquisition as an optimal choice? Second, what is the role of risk aversion in the information acquisition process? Finally, we explore the differences to the benchmark, both ex ante the first purchase decision and ex post when repeated purchases and consumption allows for experiences with the choices made. ","lang":"eng"}]},{"user_id":"186","keyword":["Statistics","Probability and Uncertainty","Numerical Analysis","Statistics and Probability"],"publication":"The R Journal","author":[{"full_name":"Feng, Yuanhua","first_name":"Yuanhua","last_name":"Feng"},{"last_name":"Gries","first_name":"Thomas","full_name":"Gries, Thomas"},{"first_name":"Sebastian","full_name":"Letmathe, Sebastian","last_name":"Letmathe"},{"last_name":"Schulz","full_name":"Schulz, Dominik","first_name":"Dominik"}],"publisher":"The R Foundation","date_created":"2022-10-10T16:54:18Z","status":"public","volume":14,"_id":"33666","intvolume":" 14","issue":"1","page":"182-195","year":"2022","type":"journal_article","citation":{"short":"Y. Feng, T. Gries, S. Letmathe, D. Schulz, The R Journal 14 (2022) 182–195.","ieee":"Y. Feng, T. Gries, S. Letmathe, and D. Schulz, “The smoots Package in R for Semiparametric Modeling of Trend Stationary Time Series,” The R Journal, vol. 14, no. 1, pp. 182–195, 2022, doi: 10.32614/rj-2022-017.","chicago":"Feng, Yuanhua, Thomas Gries, Sebastian Letmathe, and Dominik Schulz. “The Smoots Package in R for Semiparametric Modeling of Trend Stationary Time Series.” The R Journal 14, no. 1 (2022): 182–95. https://doi.org/10.32614/rj-2022-017.","apa":"Feng, Y., Gries, T., Letmathe, S., & Schulz, D. (2022). The smoots Package in R for Semiparametric Modeling of Trend Stationary Time Series. The R Journal, 14(1), 182–195. https://doi.org/10.32614/rj-2022-017","ama":"Feng Y, Gries T, Letmathe S, Schulz D. The smoots Package in R for Semiparametric Modeling of Trend Stationary Time Series. The R Journal. 2022;14(1):182-195. doi:10.32614/rj-2022-017","mla":"Feng, Yuanhua, et al. “The Smoots Package in R for Semiparametric Modeling of Trend Stationary Time Series.” The R Journal, vol. 14, no. 1, The R Foundation, 2022, pp. 182–95, doi:10.32614/rj-2022-017.","bibtex":"@article{Feng_Gries_Letmathe_Schulz_2022, title={The smoots Package in R for Semiparametric Modeling of Trend Stationary Time Series}, volume={14}, DOI={10.32614/rj-2022-017}, number={1}, journal={The R Journal}, publisher={The R Foundation}, author={Feng, Yuanhua and Gries, Thomas and Letmathe, Sebastian and Schulz, Dominik}, year={2022}, pages={182–195} }"},"title":"The smoots Package in R for Semiparametric Modeling of Trend Stationary Time Series","department":[{"_id":"200"},{"_id":"202"}],"publication_identifier":{"issn":["2073-4859"]},"publication_status":"published","date_updated":"2023-12-21T12:37:31Z","doi":"10.32614/rj-2022-017","language":[{"iso":"eng"}]},{"language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"year":"2021","citation":{"ieee":"T. Gries, M. Redlin, and M. Zehra, “Educational Assimilation of First-Generation and Second-Generation Immigrants in Germany,” Journal of International Migration and Integration, 2021, doi: 10.1007/s12134-021-00863-9.","short":"T. Gries, M. Redlin, M. Zehra, Journal of International Migration and Integration (2021).","mla":"Gries, Thomas, et al. “Educational Assimilation of First-Generation and Second-Generation Immigrants in Germany.” Journal of International Migration and Integration, 2021, doi:10.1007/s12134-021-00863-9.","bibtex":"@article{Gries_Redlin_Zehra_2021, title={Educational Assimilation of First-Generation and Second-Generation Immigrants in Germany}, DOI={10.1007/s12134-021-00863-9}, journal={Journal of International Migration and Integration}, author={Gries, Thomas and Redlin, Margarete and Zehra, Moonum}, year={2021} }","chicago":"Gries, Thomas, Margarete Redlin, and Moonum Zehra. “Educational Assimilation of First-Generation and Second-Generation Immigrants in Germany.” Journal of International Migration and Integration, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12134-021-00863-9.","ama":"Gries T, Redlin M, Zehra M. Educational Assimilation of First-Generation and Second-Generation Immigrants in Germany. Journal of International Migration and Integration. Published online 2021. doi:10.1007/s12134-021-00863-9","apa":"Gries, T., Redlin, M., & Zehra, M. (2021). Educational Assimilation of First-Generation and Second-Generation Immigrants in Germany. Journal of International Migration and Integration. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12134-021-00863-9"},"type":"journal_article","date_updated":"2022-08-23T08:24:35Z","_id":"22715","doi":"10.1007/s12134-021-00863-9","department":[{"_id":"200"},{"_id":"475"},{"_id":"202"}],"publication":"Journal of International Migration and Integration","author":[{"id":"186","last_name":"Gries","full_name":"Gries, Thomas","first_name":"Thomas"},{"first_name":"Margarete","full_name":"Redlin, Margarete","last_name":"Redlin","id":"135"},{"last_name":"Zehra","first_name":"Moonum","full_name":"Zehra, Moonum"}],"date_created":"2021-07-13T08:08:41Z","status":"public","publication_status":"published","publication_identifier":{"issn":["1488-3473","1874-6365"]},"abstract":[{"text":"AbstractUsing data from the German Socio-Economic Panel for 1984–2018, we analyze the intergenerational education mobility of immigrants in Germany by identifying the determinants of differences in educational stocks for first- and second-generation immigrants in comparison to individuals without a migration background. Our results show that on average, first-generation immigrants have fewer years of schooling than native-born Germans and have a disproportionate share of lower educational qualifications. This gap is strongly driven by age at immigration, with immigration age and education revealing a nonlinear relationship. While the gap is relatively small among individuals who migrate at a young age, integrating in the school system at secondary school age leads to large disadvantages. Examining the educational mobility of immigrants in Germany, we identify an inter-generational catch-up in education. The gap in education between immigrants and natives is reduced for the second generation. Finally, we find that country of origin differences can account for much of the education gap. While immigrants with an ethnic background closer to the German language and culture show the best education outcomes, immigrants from Turkey, Italy, and other southern European countries and especially the group of war refugees from Syria, Afghanistan, Iraq and other MENA countries, have the lowest educational attainment.","lang":"eng"}],"article_type":"original","user_id":"135","title":"Educational Assimilation of First-Generation and Second-Generation Immigrants in Germany"},{"article_type":"original","abstract":[{"lang":"eng","text":"AbstractUsing time series data for the period 1959–2015, our empirical analysis examines the simultaneous effects of the individual components of the global carbon budget on temperature. Specifically, we explore the possible effects of carbon emissions caused by fossil fuel combustion, cement production, land-use change emissions, and carbon sinks (here in terms of land sink and ocean sink) on climate change. The simultaneous inclusion of carbon emissions and carbon sinks allows us to look at the coexistent and opposing effects of the individual components of the carbon budget and thus provides a holistic perspective from which to explore the relationship between the global carbon budget and global warming. The results reveal a significant positive effect of carbon emissions on temperature for both fossil fuels emissions and emissions from land-use change, confirming previous results concerning carbon dioxide and temperature. Further, while ocean sink does not seem to have a significant effect, we identify a temperature-decreasing effect for land sink."}],"title":"Anthropogenic climate change: the impact of the global carbon budget","user_id":"135","author":[{"full_name":"Redlin, Margarete","first_name":"Margarete","id":"135","last_name":"Redlin"},{"first_name":"Thomas","full_name":"Gries, Thomas","last_name":"Gries","id":"186"}],"department":[{"_id":"475"},{"_id":"200"},{"_id":"202"}],"publication":"Theoretical and Applied Climatology","publication_identifier":{"issn":["0177-798X","1434-4483"]},"publication_status":"published","status":"public","date_created":"2021-09-01T06:20:59Z","date_updated":"2022-08-23T08:24:08Z","_id":"23594","doi":"10.1007/s00704-021-03764-0","citation":{"short":"M. Redlin, T. Gries, Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2021).","ieee":"M. Redlin and T. Gries, “Anthropogenic climate change: the impact of the global carbon budget,” Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 2021, doi: 10.1007/s00704-021-03764-0.","ama":"Redlin M, Gries T. Anthropogenic climate change: the impact of the global carbon budget. Theoretical and Applied Climatology. Published online 2021. doi:10.1007/s00704-021-03764-0","apa":"Redlin, M., & Gries, T. (2021). Anthropogenic climate change: the impact of the global carbon budget. Theoretical and Applied Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-021-03764-0","chicago":"Redlin, Margarete, and Thomas Gries. “Anthropogenic Climate Change: The Impact of the Global Carbon Budget.” Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-021-03764-0.","mla":"Redlin, Margarete, and Thomas Gries. “Anthropogenic Climate Change: The Impact of the Global Carbon Budget.” Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 2021, doi:10.1007/s00704-021-03764-0.","bibtex":"@article{Redlin_Gries_2021, title={Anthropogenic climate change: the impact of the global carbon budget}, DOI={10.1007/s00704-021-03764-0}, journal={Theoretical and Applied Climatology}, author={Redlin, Margarete and Gries, Thomas}, year={2021} }"},"type":"journal_article","year":"2021","language":[{"iso":"eng"}]},{"language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"type":"journal_article","citation":{"short":"Y. Feng, T. Gries, M. Fritz, Journal of Nonparametric Statistics (2020) 510–533.","ieee":"Y. Feng, T. Gries, and M. Fritz, “Data-driven local polynomial for the trend and its derivatives in economic time series,” Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, pp. 510–533, 2020.","chicago":"Feng, Yuanhua, Thomas Gries, and Marlon Fritz. “Data-Driven Local Polynomial for the Trend and Its Derivatives in Economic Time Series.” Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, 2020, 510–33. https://doi.org/10.1080/10485252.2020.1759598.","apa":"Feng, Y., Gries, T., & Fritz, M. (2020). Data-driven local polynomial for the trend and its derivatives in economic time series. Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, 510–533. https://doi.org/10.1080/10485252.2020.1759598","ama":"Feng Y, Gries T, Fritz M. Data-driven local polynomial for the trend and its derivatives in economic time series. Journal of Nonparametric Statistics. 2020:510-533. doi:10.1080/10485252.2020.1759598","mla":"Feng, Yuanhua, et al. “Data-Driven Local Polynomial for the Trend and Its Derivatives in Economic Time Series.” Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, 2020, pp. 510–33, doi:10.1080/10485252.2020.1759598.","bibtex":"@article{Feng_Gries_Fritz_2020, title={Data-driven local polynomial for the trend and its derivatives in economic time series}, DOI={10.1080/10485252.2020.1759598}, journal={Journal of Nonparametric Statistics}, author={Feng, Yuanhua and Gries, Thomas and Fritz, Marlon}, year={2020}, pages={510–533} }"},"year":"2020","page":"510-533","_id":"17072","date_updated":"2022-01-06T06:53:04Z","doi":"10.1080/10485252.2020.1759598","author":[{"first_name":"Yuanhua","full_name":"Feng, Yuanhua","last_name":"Feng"},{"first_name":"Thomas","full_name":"Gries, Thomas","last_name":"Gries"},{"last_name":"Fritz","full_name":"Fritz, Marlon","first_name":"Marlon"}],"department":[{"_id":"200"},{"_id":"475"},{"_id":"19"},{"_id":"202"}],"publication":"Journal of Nonparametric Statistics","status":"public","date_created":"2020-06-02T10:13:05Z","publication_identifier":{"issn":["1048-5252","1029-0311"]},"publication_status":"published","user_id":"186","title":"Data-driven local polynomial for the trend and its derivatives in economic time series"},{"publication":"Review of Development Economics","department":[{"_id":"19"},{"_id":"200"},{"_id":"475"},{"_id":"202"}],"author":[{"full_name":"Gries, Thomas","first_name":"Thomas","last_name":"Gries"},{"last_name":"Grundmann","full_name":"Grundmann, Rainer","first_name":"Rainer"}],"publication_identifier":{"issn":["1363-6669","1467-9361"]},"publication_status":"published","date_created":"2020-06-02T10:20:50Z","status":"public","title":"Modern sector development: The role of exports and institutions in developing countries","user_id":"186","page":"644-667","year":"2020","type":"journal_article","citation":{"chicago":"Gries, Thomas, and Rainer Grundmann. “Modern Sector Development: The Role of Exports and Institutions in Developing Countries.” Review of Development Economics, 2020, 644–67. https://doi.org/10.1111/rode.12663.","apa":"Gries, T., & Grundmann, R. (2020). Modern sector development: The role of exports and institutions in developing countries. Review of Development Economics, 644–667. https://doi.org/10.1111/rode.12663","ama":"Gries T, Grundmann R. Modern sector development: The role of exports and institutions in developing countries. Review of Development Economics. 2020:644-667. doi:10.1111/rode.12663","bibtex":"@article{Gries_Grundmann_2020, title={Modern sector development: The role of exports and institutions in developing countries}, DOI={10.1111/rode.12663}, journal={Review of Development Economics}, author={Gries, Thomas and Grundmann, Rainer}, year={2020}, pages={644–667} }","mla":"Gries, Thomas, and Rainer Grundmann. “Modern Sector Development: The Role of Exports and Institutions in Developing Countries.” Review of Development Economics, 2020, pp. 644–67, doi:10.1111/rode.12663.","short":"T. Gries, R. Grundmann, Review of Development Economics (2020) 644–667.","ieee":"T. Gries and R. Grundmann, “Modern sector development: The role of exports and institutions in developing countries,” Review of Development Economics, pp. 644–667, 2020."},"language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"date_updated":"2022-01-06T06:53:04Z","_id":"17074","doi":"10.1111/rode.12663"},{"language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"oa":"1","doi":"10.1007/s10368-020-00467-1","date_updated":"2022-08-23T08:25:03Z","publication_identifier":{"issn":["1612-4804","1612-4812"]},"publication_status":"published","department":[{"_id":"475"},{"_id":"200"},{"_id":"202"}],"title":"Trade and economic development: global causality and development- and openness-related heterogeneity","page":"923-944","year":"2020","citation":{"bibtex":"@article{Gries_Redlin_2020, title={Trade and economic development: global causality and development- and openness-related heterogeneity}, volume={17}, DOI={10.1007/s10368-020-00467-1}, journal={International Economics and Economic Policy}, author={Gries, Thomas and Redlin, Margarete}, year={2020}, pages={923–944} }","mla":"Gries, Thomas, and Margarete Redlin. “Trade and Economic Development: Global Causality and Development- and Openness-Related Heterogeneity.” International Economics and Economic Policy, vol. 17, 2020, pp. 923–44, doi:10.1007/s10368-020-00467-1.","chicago":"Gries, Thomas, and Margarete Redlin. “Trade and Economic Development: Global Causality and Development- and Openness-Related Heterogeneity.” International Economics and Economic Policy 17 (2020): 923–44. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-020-00467-1.","apa":"Gries, T., & Redlin, M. (2020). Trade and economic development: global causality and development- and openness-related heterogeneity. International Economics and Economic Policy, 17, 923–944. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-020-00467-1","ama":"Gries T, Redlin M. Trade and economic development: global causality and development- and openness-related heterogeneity. International Economics and Economic Policy. 2020;17:923-944. doi:10.1007/s10368-020-00467-1","ieee":"T. Gries and M. Redlin, “Trade and economic development: global causality and development- and openness-related heterogeneity,” International Economics and Economic Policy, vol. 17, pp. 923–944, 2020, doi: 10.1007/s10368-020-00467-1.","short":"T. Gries, M. Redlin, International Economics and Economic Policy 17 (2020) 923–944."},"type":"journal_article","main_file_link":[{"url":"https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10368-020-00467-1","open_access":"1"}],"_id":"17086","intvolume":" 17","date_created":"2020-06-08T07:05:43Z","status":"public","volume":17,"publication":"International Economics and Economic Policy","author":[{"first_name":"Thomas","full_name":"Gries, Thomas","last_name":"Gries","id":"186"},{"first_name":"Margarete","full_name":"Redlin, Margarete","last_name":"Redlin","id":"135"}],"user_id":"135","article_type":"original"},{"language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"page":"129-170","year":"2019","citation":{"ieee":"T. Gries, S. Jungblut, T. Krieger, and H. Meyer, “Economic Retirement Age and Lifelong Learning - a theoretical model with heterogeneous labor and biased technical change,” German Economic Review, vol. 20, no. 2, pp. 129–170, 2019.","short":"T. Gries, S. Jungblut, T. Krieger, H. Meyer, German Economic Review 20 (2019) 129–170.","bibtex":"@article{Gries_Jungblut_Krieger_Meyer_2019, title={Economic Retirement Age and Lifelong Learning - a theoretical model with heterogeneous labor and biased technical change}, volume={20}, DOI={10.1111/geer.12140}, number={2}, journal={German Economic Review}, author={Gries, Thomas and Jungblut, Stefan and Krieger, Tim and Meyer, Henning}, year={2019}, pages={129–170} }","mla":"Gries, Thomas, et al. “Economic Retirement Age and Lifelong Learning - a Theoretical Model with Heterogeneous Labor and Biased Technical Change.” German Economic Review, vol. 20, no. 2, 2019, pp. 129–70, doi:10.1111/geer.12140.","ama":"Gries T, Jungblut S, Krieger T, Meyer H. Economic Retirement Age and Lifelong Learning - a theoretical model with heterogeneous labor and biased technical change. German Economic Review. 2019;20(2):129-170. doi:10.1111/geer.12140","apa":"Gries, T., Jungblut, S., Krieger, T., & Meyer, H. (2019). Economic Retirement Age and Lifelong Learning - a theoretical model with heterogeneous labor and biased technical change. German Economic Review, 20(2), 129–170. https://doi.org/10.1111/geer.12140","chicago":"Gries, Thomas, Stefan Jungblut, Tim Krieger, and Henning Meyer. “Economic Retirement Age and Lifelong Learning - a Theoretical Model with Heterogeneous Labor and Biased Technical Change.” German Economic Review 20, no. 2 (2019): 129–70. https://doi.org/10.1111/geer.12140."},"type":"journal_article","_id":"2808","intvolume":" 20","date_updated":"2022-01-06T06:57:51Z","issue":"2","doi":"10.1111/geer.12140","publication":"German Economic Review","department":[{"_id":"19"},{"_id":"200"},{"_id":"475"},{"_id":"202"}],"author":[{"id":"186","last_name":"Gries","full_name":"Gries, Thomas","first_name":"Thomas"},{"first_name":"Stefan","full_name":"Jungblut, Stefan","last_name":"Jungblut"},{"first_name":"Tim","full_name":"Krieger, Tim","last_name":"Krieger"},{"last_name":"Meyer","first_name":"Henning","full_name":"Meyer, Henning"}],"date_created":"2018-05-18T10:27:14Z","status":"public","volume":20,"user_id":"186","title":"Economic Retirement Age and Lifelong Learning - a theoretical model with heterogeneous labor and biased technical change"},{"user_id":"186","title":"Secular stagnation? Is there statistical evidence of an unprecedented, systematic decline in growth?","author":[{"full_name":"Fritz, Marlon","first_name":"Marlon","last_name":"Fritz"},{"first_name":"Thomas","full_name":"Gries, Thomas","last_name":"Gries","id":"186"},{"last_name":"Feng","first_name":"Yuanhua","full_name":"Feng, Yuanhua"}],"department":[{"_id":"19"},{"_id":"200"},{"_id":"475"},{"_id":"202"}],"publication":"Economics Letters","status":"public","date_created":"2019-05-23T07:55:48Z","publication_status":"published","volume":181,"publication_identifier":{"issn":["0165-1765"]},"_id":"9920","date_updated":"2019-05-31T08:18:38Z","intvolume":" 181","doi":"10.1016/j.econlet.2019.04.021","language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"citation":{"chicago":"Fritz, Marlon, Thomas Gries, and Yuanhua Feng. “Secular Stagnation? Is There Statistical Evidence of an Unprecedented, Systematic Decline in Growth?” Economics Letters 181 (2019): 47–50. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2019.04.021.","ama":"Fritz M, Gries T, Feng Y. Secular stagnation? Is there statistical evidence of an unprecedented, systematic decline in growth? Economics Letters. 2019;181:47-50. doi:10.1016/j.econlet.2019.04.021","apa":"Fritz, M., Gries, T., & Feng, Y. (2019). Secular stagnation? Is there statistical evidence of an unprecedented, systematic decline in growth? Economics Letters, 181, 47–50. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2019.04.021","mla":"Fritz, Marlon, et al. “Secular Stagnation? Is There Statistical Evidence of an Unprecedented, Systematic Decline in Growth?” Economics Letters, vol. 181, 2019, pp. 47–50, doi:10.1016/j.econlet.2019.04.021.","bibtex":"@article{Fritz_Gries_Feng_2019, title={Secular stagnation? Is there statistical evidence of an unprecedented, systematic decline in growth?}, volume={181}, DOI={10.1016/j.econlet.2019.04.021}, journal={Economics Letters}, author={Fritz, Marlon and Gries, Thomas and Feng, Yuanhua}, year={2019}, pages={47–50} }","short":"M. Fritz, T. Gries, Y. Feng, Economics Letters 181 (2019) 47–50.","ieee":"M. Fritz, T. Gries, and Y. Feng, “Secular stagnation? Is there statistical evidence of an unprecedented, systematic decline in growth?,” Economics Letters, vol. 181, pp. 47–50, 2019."},"type":"journal_article","year":"2019","page":"47-50"},{"title":"Growth Trends and Systematic Patterns of Boom and Busts –Testing 200 Years of Business Cycle Dynamics","user_id":"186","volume":81,"date_created":"2019-01-15T11:16:38Z","status":"public","publication":"Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics","department":[{"_id":"19"},{"_id":"200"},{"_id":"475"},{"_id":"202"}],"author":[{"id":"186","last_name":"Gries","full_name":"Gries, Thomas","first_name":"Thomas"},{"full_name":"Fritz, Marlon","first_name":"Marlon","last_name":"Fritz"},{"last_name":"Yuanhua","first_name":"Feng","full_name":"Yuanhua, Feng"}],"doi":"10.1111/obes.12267","issue":"1","intvolume":" 81","_id":"6734","date_updated":"2022-01-06T07:03:17Z","page":"62-78","citation":{"short":"T. Gries, M. Fritz, F. Yuanhua, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 81 (2019) 62–78.","ieee":"T. Gries, M. Fritz, and F. Yuanhua, “Growth Trends and Systematic Patterns of Boom and Busts –Testing 200 Years of Business Cycle Dynamics,” Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, vol. 81, no. 1, pp. 62–78, 2019.","chicago":"Gries, Thomas, Marlon Fritz, and Feng Yuanhua. “Growth Trends and Systematic Patterns of Boom and Busts –Testing 200 Years of Business Cycle Dynamics.” Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 81, no. 1 (2019): 62–78. https://doi.org/10.1111/obes.12267.","ama":"Gries T, Fritz M, Yuanhua F. Growth Trends and Systematic Patterns of Boom and Busts –Testing 200 Years of Business Cycle Dynamics. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics. 2019;81(1):62-78. doi:10.1111/obes.12267","apa":"Gries, T., Fritz, M., & Yuanhua, F. (2019). Growth Trends and Systematic Patterns of Boom and Busts –Testing 200 Years of Business Cycle Dynamics. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 81(1), 62–78. https://doi.org/10.1111/obes.12267","bibtex":"@article{Gries_Fritz_Yuanhua_2019, title={Growth Trends and Systematic Patterns of Boom and Busts –Testing 200 Years of Business Cycle Dynamics}, volume={81}, DOI={10.1111/obes.12267}, number={1}, journal={Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics}, author={Gries, Thomas and Fritz, Marlon and Yuanhua, Feng}, year={2019}, pages={62–78} }","mla":"Gries, Thomas, et al. “Growth Trends and Systematic Patterns of Boom and Busts –Testing 200 Years of Business Cycle Dynamics.” Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, vol. 81, no. 1, 2019, pp. 62–78, doi:10.1111/obes.12267."},"year":"2019","type":"journal_article","language":[{"iso":"eng"}]},{"author":[{"id":"186","last_name":"Gries","full_name":"Gries, Thomas","first_name":"Thomas"}],"department":[{"_id":"19"},{"_id":"200"},{"_id":"475"},{"_id":"202"}],"publication":"The American Economist","publication_identifier":{"issn":["0569-4345","2328-1235"]},"publication_status":"published","status":"public","date_created":"2019-06-03T07:46:47Z","title":"A New Theory of Demand-Restricted Growth: The Basic Idea","user_id":"186","citation":{"ieee":"T. Gries, “A New Theory of Demand-Restricted Growth: The Basic Idea,” The American Economist, 2019.","short":"T. Gries, The American Economist (2019).","mla":"Gries, Thomas. “A New Theory of Demand-Restricted Growth: The Basic Idea.” The American Economist, 056943451984647, 2019, doi:10.1177/0569434519846477.","bibtex":"@article{Gries_2019, title={A New Theory of Demand-Restricted Growth: The Basic Idea}, DOI={10.1177/0569434519846477}, number={056943451984647}, journal={The American Economist}, author={Gries, Thomas}, year={2019} }","chicago":"Gries, Thomas. “A New Theory of Demand-Restricted Growth: The Basic Idea.” The American Economist, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1177/0569434519846477.","ama":"Gries T. A New Theory of Demand-Restricted Growth: The Basic Idea. The American Economist. 2019. doi:10.1177/0569434519846477","apa":"Gries, T. (2019). A New Theory of Demand-Restricted Growth: The Basic Idea. The American Economist. https://doi.org/10.1177/0569434519846477"},"year":"2019","type":"journal_article","language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"date_updated":"2022-01-06T06:50:28Z","_id":"10090","article_number":"056943451984647","doi":"10.1177/0569434519846477"},{"title":"Pirates – The Young and the Jobless: The Effect of Youth Bulges and Youth Labor Market Integration on Maritime Piracy","publication_status":"published","publication_identifier":{"issn":["1024-2694","1476-8267"]},"department":[{"_id":"475"},{"_id":"200"},{"_id":"202"}],"doi":"10.1080/10242694.2017.1333797","date_updated":"2022-08-23T08:25:22Z","language":[{"iso":"eng"}],"user_id":"135","date_created":"2018-05-11T10:11:46Z","status":"public","volume":30,"publication":"Defence and Peace Economics","author":[{"first_name":"Thomas","full_name":"Gries, Thomas","last_name":"Gries","id":"186"},{"first_name":"Margarete","full_name":"Redlin, Margarete","last_name":"Redlin","id":"135"}],"publisher":"Informa UK Limited","issue":"3","_id":"2727","intvolume":" 30","page":"309-323","citation":{"mla":"Gries, Thomas, and Margarete Redlin. “Pirates – The Young and the Jobless: The Effect of Youth Bulges and Youth Labor Market Integration on Maritime Piracy.” Defence and Peace Economics, vol. 30, no. 3, Informa UK Limited, 2019, pp. 309–23, doi:10.1080/10242694.2017.1333797.","bibtex":"@article{Gries_Redlin_2019, title={Pirates – The Young and the Jobless: The Effect of Youth Bulges and Youth Labor Market Integration on Maritime Piracy}, volume={30}, DOI={10.1080/10242694.2017.1333797}, number={3}, journal={Defence and Peace Economics}, publisher={Informa UK Limited}, author={Gries, Thomas and Redlin, Margarete}, year={2019}, pages={309–323} }","chicago":"Gries, Thomas, and Margarete Redlin. “Pirates – The Young and the Jobless: The Effect of Youth Bulges and Youth Labor Market Integration on Maritime Piracy.” Defence and Peace Economics 30, no. 3 (2019): 309–23. https://doi.org/10.1080/10242694.2017.1333797.","ama":"Gries T, Redlin M. 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