---
_id: '65544'
author:
- first_name: Markus
  full_name: Knauff, Markus
  last_name: Knauff
- first_name: Martin V.
  full_name: Butz, Martin V.
  last_name: Butz
- first_name: Barbara
  full_name: Kaup, Barbara
  last_name: Kaup
- first_name: Wilfried
  full_name: Kunde, Wilfried
  last_name: Kunde
- first_name: Ingrid
  full_name: Scharlau, Ingrid
  id: '451'
  last_name: Scharlau
  orcid: 0000-0003-2364-9489
citation:
  ama: Knauff M, Butz MV, Kaup B, Kunde W, Scharlau I. When prediction replaces explanation: 
    A threat to psychological science . <i>psyarxiv</i>. Published online 2026.
  apa: Knauff, M., Butz, M. V., Kaup, B., Kunde, W., &#38; Scharlau, I. (2026). When
    prediction replaces explanation:  A threat to psychological science . In <i>psyarxiv</i>.
    OSF.
  bibtex: '@article{Knauff_Butz_Kaup_Kunde_Scharlau_2026, title={When prediction replaces
    explanation:  A threat to psychological science }, journal={psyarxiv}, publisher={OSF},
    author={Knauff, Markus and Butz, Martin V. and Kaup, Barbara and Kunde, Wilfried
    and Scharlau, Ingrid}, year={2026} }'
  chicago: Knauff, Markus, Martin V. Butz, Barbara Kaup, Wilfried Kunde, and Ingrid
    Scharlau. “When Prediction Replaces Explanation:  A Threat to Psychological Science
    .” <i>Psyarxiv</i>. OSF, 2026.
  ieee: M. Knauff, M. V. Butz, B. Kaup, W. Kunde, and I. Scharlau, “When prediction
    replaces explanation:  A threat to psychological science ,” <i>psyarxiv</i>. OSF,
    2026.
  mla: Knauff, Markus, et al. “When Prediction Replaces Explanation:  A Threat to
    Psychological Science .” <i>Psyarxiv</i>, OSF, 2026.
  short: M. Knauff, M.V. Butz, B. Kaup, W. Kunde, I. Scharlau, Psyarxiv (2026).
date_created: 2026-05-01T08:10:05Z
date_updated: 2026-05-01T08:10:11Z
department:
- _id: '424'
keyword:
- explainability
- explanation
- prediction
language:
- iso: eng
main_file_link:
- open_access: '1'
  url: https://osf.io/preprints/psyarxiv/v2pht_v1
oa: '1'
page: '18'
project:
- _id: '124'
  name: 'TRR 318 ; TP C01: Gesundes Misstrauen in Erklärungen'
- _id: '109'
  name: 'TRR 318: Erklärbarkeit konstruieren'
- _id: '127'
  name: 'TRR 318; TP C04: Metaphern als Werkzeug des Erklärens'
publication: psyarxiv
publisher: OSF
status: public
title: 'When prediction replaces explanation:  A threat to psychological science '
type: preprint
user_id: '451'
year: '2026'
...