article AI-based scenario management for SMEs: the need for modular, explainable and reusable foresight pipelines published Jonas Knepler author Tobias Seidenberg author Khoren Grigoryan author Laban Asmar author Roman Dumitrescu author 16190 563 department <jats:title>ABSTRACT:</jats:title> <jats:p>Small and medium-sized enterprises often lack the time, expertise, and tools for effective scenario management. This paper proposes a modular, AI-enabled scenario architecture integrating a guided wizard and expert environment on a shared knowledge backbone. The design aims to reduce effort and tool fragmentation while preserving human judgment, structural quality, explainability, and traceability. The proposed pattern outlines a provenance-aware foresight pipeline with human-in-the-loop capabilities that aims to transform one-off projects into reusable organizational knowledge.</jats:p> Cambridge University Press (CUP)2026 eng Proceedings of the Design Society 2732-527X10.1017/pds.2026.10595 62373-2382 Knepler J, Seidenberg T, Grigoryan K, Asmar L, Dumitrescu R. AI-based scenario management for SMEs: the need for modular, explainable and reusable foresight pipelines. <i>Proceedings of the Design Society</i>. 2026;6:2373-2382. doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1017/pds.2026.10595">10.1017/pds.2026.10595</a> @article{Knepler_Seidenberg_Grigoryan_Asmar_Dumitrescu_2026, title={AI-based scenario management for SMEs: the need for modular, explainable and reusable foresight pipelines}, volume={6}, DOI={<a href="https://doi.org/10.1017/pds.2026.10595">10.1017/pds.2026.10595</a>}, journal={Proceedings of the Design Society}, publisher={Cambridge University Press (CUP)}, author={Knepler, Jonas and Seidenberg, Tobias and Grigoryan, Khoren and Asmar, Laban and Dumitrescu, Roman}, year={2026}, pages={2373–2382} } Knepler, Jonas, et al. “AI-Based Scenario Management for SMEs: The Need for Modular, Explainable and Reusable Foresight Pipelines.” <i>Proceedings of the Design Society</i>, vol. 6, Cambridge University Press (CUP), 2026, pp. 2373–82, doi:<a href="https://doi.org/10.1017/pds.2026.10595">10.1017/pds.2026.10595</a>. J. Knepler, T. Seidenberg, K. Grigoryan, L. Asmar, R. Dumitrescu, Proceedings of the Design Society 6 (2026) 2373–2382. Knepler, Jonas, Tobias Seidenberg, Khoren Grigoryan, Laban Asmar, and Roman Dumitrescu. “AI-Based Scenario Management for SMEs: The Need for Modular, Explainable and Reusable Foresight Pipelines.” <i>Proceedings of the Design Society</i> 6 (2026): 2373–82. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1017/pds.2026.10595">https://doi.org/10.1017/pds.2026.10595</a>. Knepler, J., Seidenberg, T., Grigoryan, K., Asmar, L., &#38; Dumitrescu, R. (2026). AI-based scenario management for SMEs: the need for modular, explainable and reusable foresight pipelines. <i>Proceedings of the Design Society</i>, <i>6</i>, 2373–2382. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1017/pds.2026.10595">https://doi.org/10.1017/pds.2026.10595</a> J. Knepler, T. Seidenberg, K. Grigoryan, L. Asmar, and R. Dumitrescu, “AI-based scenario management for SMEs: the need for modular, explainable and reusable foresight pipelines,” <i>Proceedings of the Design Society</i>, vol. 6, pp. 2373–2382, 2026, doi: <a href="https://doi.org/10.1017/pds.2026.10595">10.1017/pds.2026.10595</a>. 673582026-10-02T13:24:27Z2026-10-02T13:45:28Z