AI-based scenario management for SMEs: the need for modular, explainable and reusable foresight pipelines
J. Knepler, T. Seidenberg, K. Grigoryan, L. Asmar, R. Dumitrescu, Proceedings of the Design Society 6 (2026) 2373–2382.
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Journal Article
| Published
| English
Author
Knepler, Jonas;
Seidenberg, Tobias;
Grigoryan, Khoren;
Asmar, Laban;
Dumitrescu, RomanLibreCat
Abstract
<jats:title>ABSTRACT:</jats:title>
<jats:p>Small and medium-sized enterprises often lack the time, expertise, and tools for effective scenario management. This paper proposes a modular, AI-enabled scenario architecture integrating a guided wizard and expert environment on a shared knowledge backbone. The design aims to reduce effort and tool fragmentation while preserving human judgment, structural quality, explainability, and traceability. The proposed pattern outlines a provenance-aware foresight pipeline with human-in-the-loop capabilities that aims to transform one-off projects into reusable organizational knowledge.</jats:p>
Publishing Year
Journal Title
Proceedings of the Design Society
Volume
6
Page
2373-2382
ISSN
LibreCat-ID
Cite this
Knepler J, Seidenberg T, Grigoryan K, Asmar L, Dumitrescu R. AI-based scenario management for SMEs: the need for modular, explainable and reusable foresight pipelines. Proceedings of the Design Society. 2026;6:2373-2382. doi:10.1017/pds.2026.10595
Knepler, J., Seidenberg, T., Grigoryan, K., Asmar, L., & Dumitrescu, R. (2026). AI-based scenario management for SMEs: the need for modular, explainable and reusable foresight pipelines. Proceedings of the Design Society, 6, 2373–2382. https://doi.org/10.1017/pds.2026.10595
@article{Knepler_Seidenberg_Grigoryan_Asmar_Dumitrescu_2026, title={AI-based scenario management for SMEs: the need for modular, explainable and reusable foresight pipelines}, volume={6}, DOI={10.1017/pds.2026.10595}, journal={Proceedings of the Design Society}, publisher={Cambridge University Press (CUP)}, author={Knepler, Jonas and Seidenberg, Tobias and Grigoryan, Khoren and Asmar, Laban and Dumitrescu, Roman}, year={2026}, pages={2373–2382} }
Knepler, Jonas, Tobias Seidenberg, Khoren Grigoryan, Laban Asmar, and Roman Dumitrescu. “AI-Based Scenario Management for SMEs: The Need for Modular, Explainable and Reusable Foresight Pipelines.” Proceedings of the Design Society 6 (2026): 2373–82. https://doi.org/10.1017/pds.2026.10595.
J. Knepler, T. Seidenberg, K. Grigoryan, L. Asmar, and R. Dumitrescu, “AI-based scenario management for SMEs: the need for modular, explainable and reusable foresight pipelines,” Proceedings of the Design Society, vol. 6, pp. 2373–2382, 2026, doi: 10.1017/pds.2026.10595.
Knepler, Jonas, et al. “AI-Based Scenario Management for SMEs: The Need for Modular, Explainable and Reusable Foresight Pipelines.” Proceedings of the Design Society, vol. 6, Cambridge University Press (CUP), 2026, pp. 2373–82, doi:10.1017/pds.2026.10595.
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