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107 Publications
2024 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 50719
Fritz, M., Gries, T., & Wiechers, L. (2024). An early indicator for anomalous stock market performance. Quantitative Finance, 1–14. https://doi.org/10.1080/14697688.2023.2281529
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| DOI
2023 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 49309
Burs, C. (2023). A model of cycles and bubbles under heterogeneous beliefs in financial markets. Cogent Economics & Finance, 11(2). https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2023.2272485
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| DOI
2023 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 48086
Burs, C., Gries, T., & Müller, V. (2023). The Choice of Ideology and Everyday Decisions. Journal of Organizational Psychology, 23(1). https://doi.org/10.33423/jop.v23i1.6033
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2023 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 44591
Fritz, M., Gries, T., & Redlin, M. (2023). The effectiveness of vaccination, testing, and lockdown strategies against COVID-19. International Journal of Health Economics and Management. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10754-023-09352-1
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2022 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 33221
Redlin, M. (2022). Differences in NPI strategies against COVID-19. Journal of Regulatory Economics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11149-022-09452-9
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2022 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 33220
Gries, T., & Naudé, W. (2022). Modelling artificial intelligence in economics. Journal for Labour Market Research, 56(1), Article 12. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12651-022-00319-2
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2022 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 33219
Gries, T., Müller, V., & Jost, J. T. (2022). The Market for Belief Systems: A Formal Model of Ideological Choice. Psychological Inquiry, 33(2), 65–83. https://doi.org/10.1080/1047840x.2022.2065128
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2022 | Working Paper | LibreCat-ID: 49308
Burs, C., & Gries, T. (2022). Decision-making under Imperfect Information with Bayesian Learning or Heuristic Rules: Vol. No. 149. Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics.
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2022 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 33666
Feng, Y., Gries, T., Letmathe, S., & Schulz, D. (2022). The smoots Package in R for Semiparametric Modeling of Trend Stationary Time Series. The R Journal, 14(1), 182–195. https://doi.org/10.32614/rj-2022-017
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2021 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 22715
Gries, T., Redlin, M., & Zehra, M. (2021). Educational Assimilation of First-Generation and Second-Generation Immigrants in Germany. Journal of International Migration and Integration. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12134-021-00863-9
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2021 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 23594
Redlin, M., & Gries, T. (2021). Anthropogenic climate change: the impact of the global carbon budget. Theoretical and Applied Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-021-03764-0
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2020 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 17072
Feng, Y., Gries, T., & Fritz, M. (2020). Data-driven local polynomial for the trend and its derivatives in economic time series. Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, 510–533. https://doi.org/10.1080/10485252.2020.1759598
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2020 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 17074
Gries, T., & Grundmann, R. (2020). Modern sector development: The role of exports and institutions in developing countries. Review of Development Economics, 644–667. https://doi.org/10.1111/rode.12663
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2020 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 17086 | 
Gries, T., & Redlin, M. (2020). Trade and economic development: global causality and development- and openness-related heterogeneity. International Economics and Economic Policy, 17, 923–944. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-020-00467-1
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2019 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2808
Gries, T., Jungblut, S., Krieger, T., & Meyer, H. (2019). Economic Retirement Age and Lifelong Learning - a theoretical model with heterogeneous labor and biased technical change. German Economic Review, 20(2), 129–170. https://doi.org/10.1111/geer.12140
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2019 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 9920
Fritz, M., Gries, T., & Feng, Y. (2019). Secular stagnation? Is there statistical evidence of an unprecedented, systematic decline in growth? Economics Letters, 181, 47–50. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2019.04.021
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2019 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 6734
Gries, T., Fritz, M., & Yuanhua, F. (2019). Growth Trends and Systematic Patterns of Boom and Busts –Testing 200 Years of Business Cycle Dynamics. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 81(1), 62–78. https://doi.org/10.1111/obes.12267
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2019 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 10090
Gries, T. (2019). A New Theory of Demand-Restricted Growth: The Basic Idea. The American Economist. https://doi.org/10.1177/0569434519846477
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2019 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2727
Gries, T., & Redlin, M. (2019). Pirates – The Young and the Jobless: The Effect of Youth Bulges and Youth Labor Market Integration on Maritime Piracy. Defence and Peace Economics, 30(3), 309–323. https://doi.org/10.1080/10242694.2017.1333797
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2018 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2814
Gries, T., & Grundmann, R. (2018). Fertility and Modernization: The Role of Urbanization in Developing Countries. Journal of International Development, 30(3), 493–506. https://doi.org/10.1002/jid.3104
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2018 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 8481
Gries, T., & Meierrieks, D. (2018). “Pay for It Heavily”: Does U.S. Support for Israel Lead to Anti-American Terrorism? Defence and Peace Economics. https://doi.org/10.1080/10242694.2018.1560558
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2018 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2728
Gries, T., Redlin, M., & Ugarte, J. E. (2018). Human-induced climate change: the impact of land-use change. Theoretical and Applied Climatology. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-018-2422-8
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2017 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 3070
Gries, T., Fritz, M., & Feng, Y. (2017). Slow Booms and Deep Busts: 160 Years of Business Cycles in Spain. Review of Economics, 68(2), 153–166. https://doi.org/10.1515/roe-2017-0008
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2017 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 1372
Gries, T., Grundmann, R., Palnau, I., & Redlin, M. (2017). Innovations, growth and participation in advanced economies - a review of major concepts and findings. International Economics and Economic Policy, 14(2), 293–351. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-016-0371-1
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2017 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 1371
Gries, T., Grundmann, R., Palnau, I., & Redlin, M. (2017). Technology diffusion, international integration and participation in developing economies - a review of major concepts and findings. International Economics and Economic Policy, 15(1), 215–253. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-017-0373-7
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2016 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2810
Gries, T., Kraft, M., & Simon, M. (2016). Explaining inter-provincial migration in China. Papers in Regional Science, 4(95), 709–731. https://doi.org/10.1111/pirs.12156
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2016 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2811
Gries, T., & Haake, C.-J. (2016). Towards an Economic Theory of Destabilization War. Peace Economics and Peace Science, 22(4), 377–384. https://doi.org/10.1515/peps-2016-0042
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2016 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2813
Gries, T., Jungblut, S., & Naudé, W. (2016). The Entrepreneurship Beveridge Curve. International Journal of Economic Theory, 12(2), 151–165. https://doi.org/10.1111/ijet.12086
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2015 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2815
Gries, T., Naudé, W., & Bilkic, N. (2015). Playing the Lottery or Dressing Up? A Model of Firm-Level Heterogeneity and the Decision to Export. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 58, 1–17. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2015.02.010
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2015 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2816
Gries, T., Feng, Y., & Guo, Z. (2015). Changes of China’s agri-food exports to Germany caused by its accession to WTO and the 2008 financial crisis. China Agricultural Economic Review, 7(2), 262–279. https://doi.org/10.1108/CAER-11-2013-0152
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2015 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 3295
Gries, T., & Palnau, I. (2015). Sustaining Civil Peace: a configurational comparative analysis. Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy, 21(4), 467–478. https://doi.org/10.1515/peps-2015-0020
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2015 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 3296
Gries, T., Meierrieks, D., & Redlin, M. (2015). Oppressive Governments, Dependence on the United States and Anti-American Terrorism. Oxford Economic Papers, 67(1), 83–103. https://doi.org/10.1093/oep/gpu038
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2015 | Working Paper | LibreCat-ID: 2730 |
Gries, T., Grundmann, R., Palnau, I., & Redlin, M. (2015). Does technological change drive inclusive industrialization? - A review of major concepts and findings (Vol. 2015–044).
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2015 | Report | LibreCat-ID: 1374 |
Gries, T., Grundmann, R., Palnau, I., & Redlin, M. (2015). Does technological change drive inclusive industrialization? A review of major concepts and findings.
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2014 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2819
Gries, T., & Grundmann, R. (2014). Trade and fertility in the developing world: the impact of trade and trade structure. Journal of Population Economics, 27(4), 1165–1186. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-014-0508-x
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2014 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2842
Gries, T., & Dung, H. V. (2014). Household Savings and Productive Capital Formation in Rural Vietnam: Insurance vs. Social Network. Modern Economy, 5, 878–894. https://doi.org/10.4236/me.2014.58081
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2014 | Book Chapter | LibreCat-ID: 3289
Gries, T. (2014). Low Carbon Economics - Theory and application. In X. Jinjun (Ed.), Low Carbon Economics (Vol. Chapter 22, pp. 361–382).
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2014 | Report | LibreCat-ID: 2731 |
Gries, T., Meierriecks, D., & Redlin, M. (2014). Providing aid to repressive terrorist source countries does not make the U.S. any safer.
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2014 | Working Paper | LibreCat-ID: 2732 |
Gries, T., & Redlin, M. (2014). Maritime Piracy: Socio-Economic, Political, and Institutional Determinants (Vol. 2014–75). Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics.
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2014 | Working Paper | LibreCat-ID: 2738 |
Dimant, E., Krieger, T., & Redlin, M. (2014). A Crook is a Crook ... But is He Still a Crook Abroad? On the Effect of Immigration on Destination-Country Corruption (Vol. 5032). Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute (CESifo), Munich.
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2014 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2729
Dimant, E., Krieger, T., & Redlin, M. (2014). A Crook is a Crook … But is He Still a Crook Abroad? On the Effect of Immigration on Destination-Country Corruption. German Economic Review, 16(4), 464–489. https://doi.org/10.1111/geer.12064
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2014 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 33087
Gries, T., Meierrieks, D., & Redlin, M. (2014). Oppressive governments, dependence on the USA, and anti-American terrorism. Oxford Economic Papers, 67(1), 83–103. https://doi.org/10.1093/oep/gpu038
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2013 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2843
Gries, T., Bilkic, N., & Carerras Painter, B. (2013). Unsustainable Sovereign Debt - Is the Euro Crisis only the Tip of the Iceberg? International Economics and Economic Policy, 10(1), 1–45. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-013-0230-2
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2013 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2844
Gries, T. (2013). Global Asymmetries and their Implications for Climate and Industrial Policies, in: Pathways to Industrialization in the Twenty-First Century - New Challenges and Emerging Paradigms. Oxford University Press, ch. 11, 293–323. https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199667857.001.0001
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2013 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2845
Gries, T., & Meierrieks, D. (2013). Do banking crises cause terrorism? Economics Letters , 119(3), 321–324. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2013.03.009
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2013 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2846
Gries, T., & Meierrieks, Da. (2013). Causality Between Terrorism and Economic Growth. Journal of Peace Research, 50(1), 91–104. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343312445650
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2013 | Working Paper | LibreCat-ID: 2733 |
Dimant, E., Krieger, T., & Redlin, M. (2013). A Crook is a Crook … But is He Still a Crook Abroad? - On the Effect of Immigration on Destination-Country Corruption (Vol. 2013–14). Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics.
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2013 | Working Paper | LibreCat-ID: 2739 |
Dimant, E., Krieger, T., & Redlin, M. (2013). A crook is a crook ... but is he still a crook abroad? On the effect of immigration on destination-country corruption (Vol. 2013–03). Wilfried-Guth-Stiftungsprofessur für Ordnungs- und Wettbewerbspolitik, Universität Freiburg.
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2012 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2949
Gries, T., Bilkic, N., & Pilichowski, M. (2012). Stay in school or start working?- The human capital investment decision under uncertainty and irreversibility. Labour Economics, 19(5), 706–717. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.labeco.2012.04.005
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2012 | Book Chapter | LibreCat-ID: 2950
Gries, T., & Xue, J. (2012). Poverty in Shenzhen. In L. Wang (Ed.), Rising China in the Changing World Economy (pp. 396–412).
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