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107 Publications


2024 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 50719
M. Fritz, T. Gries, and L. Wiechers, “An early indicator for anomalous stock market performance,” Quantitative Finance, pp. 1–14, 2024, doi: 10.1080/14697688.2023.2281529.
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2023 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 49309
C. Burs, “A model of cycles and bubbles under heterogeneous beliefs in financial markets,” Cogent Economics & Finance, vol. 11, no. 2, 2023, doi: 10.1080/23322039.2023.2272485.
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2023 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 48086
C. Burs, T. Gries, and V. Müller, “The Choice of Ideology and Everyday Decisions,” Journal of Organizational Psychology, vol. 23, no. 1, 2023, doi: 10.33423/jop.v23i1.6033.
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2023 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 44591
M. Fritz, T. Gries, and M. Redlin, “The effectiveness of vaccination, testing, and lockdown strategies against COVID-19,” International Journal of Health Economics and Management, 2023, doi: 10.1007/s10754-023-09352-1.
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2022 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 33221
M. Redlin, “Differences in NPI strategies against COVID-19,” Journal of Regulatory Economics, 2022, doi: 10.1007/s11149-022-09452-9.
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2022 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 33220
T. Gries and W. Naudé, “Modelling artificial intelligence in economics,” Journal for Labour Market Research, vol. 56, no. 1, Art. no. 12, 2022, doi: 10.1186/s12651-022-00319-2.
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2022 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 33219
T. Gries, V. Müller, and J. T. Jost, “The Market for Belief Systems: A Formal Model of Ideological Choice,” Psychological Inquiry, vol. 33, no. 2, pp. 65–83, 2022, doi: 10.1080/1047840x.2022.2065128.
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2022 | Working Paper | LibreCat-ID: 49308
C. Burs and T. Gries, Decision-making under Imperfect Information with Bayesian Learning or Heuristic Rules, vol. No. 149. Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics, 2022.
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2022 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 33666
Y. Feng, T. Gries, S. Letmathe, and D. Schulz, “The smoots Package in R for Semiparametric Modeling of Trend Stationary Time Series,” The R Journal, vol. 14, no. 1, pp. 182–195, 2022, doi: 10.32614/rj-2022-017.
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2021 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 22715
T. Gries, M. Redlin, and M. Zehra, “Educational Assimilation of First-Generation and Second-Generation Immigrants in Germany,” Journal of International Migration and Integration, 2021, doi: 10.1007/s12134-021-00863-9.
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2021 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 23594
M. Redlin and T. Gries, “Anthropogenic climate change: the impact of the global carbon budget,” Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 2021, doi: 10.1007/s00704-021-03764-0.
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2020 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 17072
Y. Feng, T. Gries, and M. Fritz, “Data-driven local polynomial for the trend and its derivatives in economic time series,” Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, pp. 510–533, 2020.
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2020 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 17074
T. Gries and R. Grundmann, “Modern sector development: The role of exports and institutions in developing countries,” Review of Development Economics, pp. 644–667, 2020.
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2020 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 17086 | OA
T. Gries and M. Redlin, “Trade and economic development: global causality and development- and openness-related heterogeneity,” International Economics and Economic Policy, vol. 17, pp. 923–944, 2020, doi: 10.1007/s10368-020-00467-1.
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2019 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2808
T. Gries, S. Jungblut, T. Krieger, and H. Meyer, “Economic Retirement Age and Lifelong Learning - a theoretical model with heterogeneous labor and biased technical change,” German Economic Review, vol. 20, no. 2, pp. 129–170, 2019.
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2019 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 9920
M. Fritz, T. Gries, and Y. Feng, “Secular stagnation? Is there statistical evidence of an unprecedented, systematic decline in growth?,” Economics Letters, vol. 181, pp. 47–50, 2019.
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2019 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 6734
T. Gries, M. Fritz, and F. Yuanhua, “Growth Trends and Systematic Patterns of Boom and Busts –Testing 200 Years of Business Cycle Dynamics,” Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, vol. 81, no. 1, pp. 62–78, 2019.
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2019 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 10090
T. Gries, “A New Theory of Demand-Restricted Growth: The Basic Idea,” The American Economist, 2019.
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2019 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2727
T. Gries and M. Redlin, “Pirates – The Young and the Jobless: The Effect of Youth Bulges and Youth Labor Market Integration on Maritime Piracy,” Defence and Peace Economics, vol. 30, no. 3, pp. 309–323, 2019, doi: 10.1080/10242694.2017.1333797.
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2018 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2814
T. Gries and R. Grundmann, “Fertility and Modernization: The Role of Urbanization in Developing Countries,” Journal of International Development, vol. 30, no. 3, pp. 493–506, 2018.
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2018 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 8481
T. Gries and D. Meierrieks, “‘Pay for It Heavily’: Does U.S. Support for Israel Lead to Anti-American Terrorism?,” Defence and Peace Economics, 2018.
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2018 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2728
T. Gries, M. Redlin, and J. E. Ugarte, “Human-induced climate change: the impact of land-use change,” Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 2018, doi: 10.1007/s00704-018-2422-8.
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2017 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 3070
T. Gries, M. Fritz, and Y. Feng, “Slow Booms and Deep Busts: 160 Years of Business Cycles in Spain,” Review of Economics, vol. 68, no. 2, pp. 153–166, 2017.
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2017 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 1372
T. Gries, R. Grundmann, I. Palnau, and M. Redlin, “Innovations, growth and participation in advanced economies - a review of major concepts and findings,” International Economics and Economic Policy, vol. 14, no. 2, pp. 293–351, 2017.
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2017 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 1371
T. Gries, R. Grundmann, I. Palnau, and M. Redlin, “Technology diffusion, international integration and participation in developing economies - a review of major concepts and findings,” International Economics and Economic Policy, vol. 15, no. 1, pp. 215–253, 2017, doi: 10.1007/s10368-017-0373-7.
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2016 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2810
T. Gries, M. Kraft, and M. Simon, “Explaining inter-provincial migration in China,” Papers in Regional Science, vol. 4, no. 95, pp. 709–731, 2016.
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2016 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2811
T. Gries and C.-J. Haake, “Towards an Economic Theory of Destabilization War,” Peace Economics and Peace Science, vol. 22, no. 4, pp. 377–384, 2016.
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2016 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2813
T. Gries, S. Jungblut, and W. Naudé, “The Entrepreneurship Beveridge Curve,” International Journal of Economic Theory, vol. 12, no. 2, pp. 151–165, 2016.
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2015 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2815
T. Gries, W. Naudé, and N. Bilkic, “Playing the Lottery or Dressing Up? A Model of Firm-Level Heterogeneity and the Decision to Export,” The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, vol. 58, pp. 1–17, 2015.
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2015 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2816
T. Gries, Y. Feng, and Z. Guo, “Changes of China’s agri-food exports to Germany caused by its accession to WTO and the 2008 financial crisis,” China Agricultural Economic Review, vol. 7, no. 2, pp. 262–279, 2015.
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2015 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 3295
T. Gries and I. Palnau, “Sustaining Civil Peace: a configurational comparative analysis,” Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy, vol. 21, no. 4, pp. 467–478, 2015.
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2015 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 3296
T. Gries, D. Meierrieks, and M. Redlin, “Oppressive Governments, Dependence on the United States and Anti-American Terrorism,” Oxford Economic Papers, vol. 67, no. 1, pp. 83–103, 2015.
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2015 | Working Paper | LibreCat-ID: 2730 | OA
T. Gries, R. Grundmann, I. Palnau, and M. Redlin, Does technological change drive inclusive industrialization? - A review of major concepts and findings, vol. 2015–044. 2015.
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2015 | Report | LibreCat-ID: 1374 | OA
T. Gries, R. Grundmann, I. Palnau, and M. Redlin, Does technological change drive inclusive industrialization? A review of major concepts and findings. 2015.
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2014 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2819
T. Gries and R. Grundmann, “Trade and fertility in the developing world: the impact of trade and trade structure,” Journal of Population Economics, vol. 27, no. 4, pp. 1165–1186, 2014.
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2014 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2842
T. Gries and H. V. Dung, “Household Savings and Productive Capital Formation in Rural Vietnam: Insurance vs. Social Network,” Modern Economy, vol. 5, pp. 878–894, 2014.
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2014 | Book Chapter | LibreCat-ID: 3289
T. Gries, “Low Carbon Economics - Theory and application,” in Low Carbon Economics , vol. Chapter 22, X. Jinjun, Ed. 2014, pp. 361–382.
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2014 | Report | LibreCat-ID: 2731 | OA
T. Gries, D. Meierriecks, and M. Redlin, Providing aid to repressive terrorist source countries does not make the U.S. any safer. 2014.
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2014 | Working Paper | LibreCat-ID: 2732 | OA
T. Gries and M. Redlin, Maritime Piracy: Socio-Economic, Political, and Institutional Determinants, vol. 2014–75. Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics, 2014.
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2014 | Working Paper | LibreCat-ID: 2738 | OA
E. Dimant, T. Krieger, and M. Redlin, A Crook is a Crook ... But is He Still a Crook Abroad? On the Effect of Immigration on Destination-Country Corruption, vol. 5032. Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute (CESifo), Munich, 2014.
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2014 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2729
E. Dimant, T. Krieger, and M. Redlin, “A Crook is a Crook … But is He Still a Crook Abroad? On the Effect of Immigration on Destination-Country Corruption,” German Economic Review, vol. 16, no. 4, pp. 464–489, 2014, doi: 10.1111/geer.12064.
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2014 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 33087
T. Gries, D. Meierrieks, and M. Redlin, “Oppressive governments, dependence on the USA, and anti-American terrorism,” Oxford Economic Papers, vol. 67, no. 1, pp. 83–103, 2014, doi: 10.1093/oep/gpu038.
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2013 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2843
T. Gries, N. Bilkic, and B. Carerras Painter, “Unsustainable Sovereign Debt - Is the Euro Crisis only the Tip of the Iceberg?,” International Economics and Economic Policy, vol. 10, no. 1, pp. 1–45, 2013.
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2013 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2844
T. Gries, “Global Asymmetries and their Implications for Climate and Industrial Policies, in: Pathways to Industrialization in the Twenty-First Century - New Challenges and Emerging Paradigms,” Oxford University Press, vol. ch. 11, pp. 293–323, 2013.
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2013 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2845
T. Gries and D. Meierrieks, “Do banking crises cause terrorism?,” Economics Letters , vol. 119, no. 3, pp. 321–324, 2013.
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2013 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2846
T. Gries and Da. Meierrieks, “Causality Between Terrorism and Economic Growth,” Journal of Peace Research, vol. 50, no. 1, pp. 91–104, 2013.
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2013 | Working Paper | LibreCat-ID: 2733 | OA
E. Dimant, T. Krieger, and M. Redlin, A Crook is a Crook … But is He Still a Crook Abroad? - On the Effect of Immigration on Destination-Country Corruption, vol. 2013–14. Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics, 2013.
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2013 | Working Paper | LibreCat-ID: 2739 | OA
E. Dimant, T. Krieger, and M. Redlin, A crook is a crook ... but is he still a crook abroad? On the effect of immigration on destination-country corruption, vol. 2013–03. Wilfried-Guth-Stiftungsprofessur für Ordnungs- und Wettbewerbspolitik, Universität Freiburg, 2013.
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2012 | Journal Article | LibreCat-ID: 2949
T. Gries, N. Bilkic, and M. Pilichowski, “Stay in school or start working?- The human capital investment decision under uncertainty and irreversibility,” Labour Economics, vol. 19, no. 5, pp. 706–717, 2012.
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2012 | Book Chapter | LibreCat-ID: 2950
T. Gries and J. Xue, “Poverty in Shenzhen,” in Rising China in the Changing World Economy, L. Wang, Ed. 2012, pp. 396–412.
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